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No pooling across geometries as independent truths. Additive companions never mixed with realized decisions.","chain_selection":"Four diagnostics-referenced basenames; distinct IDs 1..4; seed 54320+iteration; 500/500 or recorded replacement 1000/1000; venture16 retains seed54336; compare means and sampler diagnostics to current posterior_summary.csv. Extras disclosed, never concatenated.","check":"--check rebuilds the complete JSON from saved inputs and compares canonical content, including full-byte input SHA256 hashes; never writes output.","decision":"lower>0 and median>log(1.25), or upper<0 and median<-log(1.25); RQ6 threshold log(1.05); strict inequalities; two-sided regardless of expected direction","eligibility":"All 40 current iteration slots retained per campaign. Failed sampler gates are explicit and never silently dropped. Rhat/bulk/tail from full saved non-observation parameter summaries; divergence/depth/E-BFMI recomputed from selected draws.","environment":"Python 3.10+, numpy and pandas in existing seu-sensitivity conda environment; original ignored recovery/assessment/template artifacts and source files required. No Stan executable or provider access required.","error_metrics":"Bias and RMSE use posterior mean, matching historical exporter; posterior-median versions supplied separately.","estimand_version":"amendment5_realized_log_sensitivity_v1","independence":"Simulator makes a separate categorical_rng call per observation, with no copy mechanism. Same simulation seeds across geometries couple RNG streams: neither distinct y bytes nor different eta imply cross-campaign independence. No new RNG simulation performed.","interval":"central 90%, numpy linear quantiles at .05/.95","posterior":"gamma0 + X gamma + sigma_cell z_alpha, draw-wise, checked against saved log_alpha_cell to 2e-6; equally weighted named cells from Amendment 5; intercept and common-size slope cancel.","rates":"Every rate carries numerator/denominator. Exact-null false positives only at truth==0; inside-ROPE detections are not null false positives. Power conditions on abs(truth)>ROPE. Type S counts wrong-sign detections at any nonzero truth, denominator detected nonzero truths.","truth":"log(saved alpha_cell); z recovered as (log(alpha)-gamma0-X gamma)/sigma because simulator did not persist z. Limited by 8-significant-digit saved truth precision."},"provenance_blockers":[{"claim_not_established":"Exact regeneration of every saved simulated choice vector from its recorded seed; independent simulated choices across geometries","effect_on_saved_draw_recovery":"Does not prevent contrasts of verified saved posterior draws against canonical saved truths; bounds the generative provenance claim.","missing_inference_data_count":120,"reason":"Original temporary inference JSONs and simulator CSVs are not retained at referenced paths. Source/config/truth agreement is verified, but y equality on reruns is not directly verified. Coupled seeds additionally rule out claiming independently seeded geometries."}],"reviewer_comparison":{"A1":"Reviewer RQ1/RQ2 detection reproduced: 4/4 comparisons agreed at reported precision, 0 disagreed, 0 with insufficient evidence. Realized contrasts use canonical cell weights; additive companions remain distinct estimands.","B4":"Additive RQ5 detection reproduced: 1/1 comparisons agreed at reported precision, 0 disagreed, 0 with insufficient evidence. Realized RQ5 is a separate audit estimand, not supported by the reviewer's RQ5 table. Different truths put different contrast-iterations in effect bins, so bin-rate changes are not paired power gains at identical truths.","B4_prior_geometry":{"additive_nonreference_task_prior_sd":0.7071067811865476,"additive_reference_task_prior_sd":0.5,"method":"Independent gamma coefficients with SD .5 plus two three-cell residual means; marginal residual variance uses E[sigma_cell^2]=.3^2. Realized prior is a mixture, not exactly normal.","realized_nonreference_task_marginal_prior_sd":0.7483314773547883,"realized_reference_task_marginal_prior_sd":0.5567764362830022},"B5":"Shared-truth conclusions depend on verified pair counts and shifted-residual comparisons in shared_truth_audit; missing evidence does not establish equality. No claim of independent datasets or truths across geometries.","C1":"Current family is 26 named, 24 distinct up to sign, not the review's 25: one OpenAI sign reversal in each primary pool.","not_audited":["B4 consequence wording","A3 ceiling/prior alternatives","A4 predictive checks"],"review_table_detection_comparisons":[{"agrees_at_reported_precision":true,"audit_rounded_rates":[0.15,0.59,0.75,0.9],"campaign":"venture","estimand":"additive_companion","review_rounded_rates":[0.15,0.59,0.75,0.9]},{"agrees_at_reported_precision":true,"audit_rounded_rates":[0.1,0.85,0.99,1.0],"campaign":"venture","estimand":"realized","review_rounded_rates":[0.1,0.85,0.99,1.0]},{"agrees_at_reported_precision":true,"audit_rounded_rates":[0.14,0.6,0.79,0.86],"campaign":"hiring","estimand":"additive_companion","review_rounded_rates":[0.14,0.6,0.79,0.86]},{"agrees_at_reported_precision":true,"audit_rounded_rates":[0.08,0.84,1.0,1.0],"campaign":"hiring","estimand":"realized","review_rounded_rates":[0.08,0.84,1.0,1.0]},{"agrees_at_reported_precision":true,"audit_rounded_rates":[0.17,0.37,0.82,0.93],"campaign":"matched_rq5","estimand":"additive_companion","review_rounded_rates":[0.17,0.37,0.82,0.93]}]},"schema_version":1,"scope":"OFFLINE saved-draw recovery; no sampling, collection, preflight or launch authorization","shared_truth_audit":{"interpretation":"venture_vs_hiring: 40 verified pairs. gamma0, sigma_cell, gamma_size and leading seven gamma coefficients: 40/40 equal, 0/40 disagreed. full realized log truths: 40/40 equal, 0/40 disagreed. full residual vectors: 40/40 equal, 0/40 disagreed. venture_vs_matched_rq5: 40 verified pairs. gamma0, sigma_cell, gamma_size and leading seven gamma coefficients: 40/40 equal, 0/40 disagreed. full realized log truths: 0/40 equal, 40/40 disagreed. full residual vectors: 0/40 equal, 40/40 disagreed. Shifted residual overlap: 40/40 within rounding tolerance; 0/40 disagreed. These comparisons do not establish independent truths across geometries or equality in unverified iterations.","limitation":"Generation code supports conditional independent choices within a dataset, but coupled seeds prevent an independent-across-geometries claim. Missing temporary y inputs cannot be recovered from posterior predictive y_pred; these are not substituted.","pairwise_equal_counts":{"venture_vs_hiring":{"common_generating_parameters_sha256":40,"paired_iterations":40,"realized_log_truth_sha256":40,"residual_z_sha256":40},"venture_vs_matched_rq5":{"common_generating_parameters_sha256":40,"paired_iterations":40,"realized_log_truth_sha256":0,"residual_z_sha256":0}},"raw_simulated_choices_available":0,"shifted_residual_stream":{"compared_iterations":40,"iterations_within_1e_minus5_rounding_tolerance":40,"mapping":"venture z[7:18] versus matched z[1:12] (1-based); six extra gamma RNG calls precede matched z","max_abs_difference":5.630758426411475e-06}},"status":"complete_saved_draw_verification"}